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Warm and Dry Start to October:Following the trend from September, through the first 8 days of October temperatures around Minnesota are averaging from 3°F to 6°F above normal. October 6 brought high temperatures in the 80s F to many areas in the state and included a reading of 88°F at Marshall (Lyon County).

In the dry air of October, frosts have occurred in 18 northern and central counties, with many observers reporting low temperatures in the 20s F. Very dry air has been dominant in many areas of Minnesota, especially western counties where relative humidity values have been as low as 14 to 16%.

Rainfall so far this month has been scarce, with many areas reporting less than a tenth of an inch. A few scattered thunderstorms have brought over an inch of rainfall to some areas. The observer in Northfield (Rice County) reported over 1 inch of rain on October 3rd. No snow has been reported in the state so far this month.

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor shows 33 percent of the state landscape in Moderate Drought, 24 percent in Severe Drought, and 3 percent in Extreme Drought. According to USDA reports dated October 4th, crop harvesting weather has recently been good and 12 percent of the state’s corn has been harvested, while 25 percent of the soybeans have been harvested.

A further climate note: according to NOAA data, Minnesota has recorded a warmer than normal October on a statewide basis for 5 consecutive years now, and 2026 may add to that streak. In addition, 3 of the last 4 Octobers have been drier than normal on a statewide basis.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The NOAA-National Hurricane Center has been tracking Hurricane Isaias in the Gulf this week and issuing advisories and forecasts. The hurricane is expected to strengthen before making landfall somewhere between the coast of eastern Mississippi, along the coast of Alabama, or even the panhandle of Florida beginning later the day on Friday or early Saturday morning.

According to the BBC, the current strong El Nino episode has brought some record-setting rains to central Chile in South America. Some areas have recorded their wettest October in 76 years and flooding has caused evacuations to occur in some areas. More rain is expected there for next Monday through Wednesday.

The Bureau of Meteorology in Australia has concluded that overall, the country recorded its 2nd warmest month of September in history. Further, the outlook for the October through December period is for warmer than normal conditions to prevail, with expectations for some extreme summer heat in the coming months. The outlook also favors above normal rainfall for much of central and western Australia.
MPR listener question:Several of us at Al’s Corral in South St Paul were watching the news about Hurricane Isaias in the Gulf this week (we have friends who are fishing the Gulf), and we wondered how long ago did the National Weather Service begin its hurricane forecasting service?
Answer:The National Weather Service initiated a 24 hour hurricane forecast and warning service in 1935, initially at Jacksonville, FL. It moved to Miami in 1941 to co-locate with aviation and military operations. Actually, the organization made an initial serious attempt to forecast hurricanes during the Spanish-American War in 1898. This effort was intended to support the U.S. Naval forces operating in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. I don't know how successful this first forecasting service was.
Twin Cities Almanac for October 9th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 62 degrees F (plus or minus 10 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is 44 degrees F (plus or minus 8 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for October 9th:

MSP records for this date are: highest daily maximum temperature of 86 degrees F in 1938; lowest daily maximum temperature of 38 degrees F in 1985; lowest daily minimum temperature of 22 degrees F in 1895; highest daily minimum temperature of 67 degrees F in 1879; record precipitation of 1.82 inches in 1904. Record snowfall is 0.5 inches in 1925.

Average dew point for October 9th is 40°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 68°F in 1973; and the minimum dew point on this date is 16°F in 1932.
All-time statewide records for October 9th:The state record high temperature for this date is 92 degrees F at Redwood Falls (Redwood County) in 2010. The state record low temperature for this date is 5 degrees F at Mizpah (Koochiching County) in 1932. The state precipitation record for this date is 4.44 inches at Grand Rapids (Itasca County) in 1973. Record snowfall for this date is 7.5 inches at Slayton (Murray County) in 1970.
Past Weather:On this date in 1871, the Chicago weather office of the Army Signal Corps was destroyed by the famous Chicago fire and all of the early climatological data records were burned up. They had reportedly only recorded 1 inch of rainfall from July to October in 1871, one of the driest periods in city history.

Very cold temperatures gripped Minnesota on October 9 of 1897. Most morning low temperatures were in the teens and twenties F and some observers reported snow flurries. The morning low temperature at Roseau was just 10°F and the afternoon high temperature at Willmar only reached 40°F.

October 9 of 1938 brought a summerlike day to most of the state with widespread afternoon temperatures in the 80s F under bright, sunny skies. After a morning low of 37°F thee temperature climbed to 81°F at Leech Lake by late afternoon.

A slow-moving early seasonal snowstorm brought significant and even heavy snow to parts of Minnesota over October 8-19 of 1970. Many areas of western and northern Minnesota reported from 3 to 7 inches of snowfall. Kelliher in Beltrami County reported 10 inches, while Oklee in Red Lake County reported 14.5 inches.
Outlook:The weekend will be dry, warm and breezy. Saturday’s high temperatures will reach the 80s F in many areas, and perhaps low 90s F in the western counties. There will be increasing clouds on Monday with a chance for rain. For much of next week, temperatures will track warmer than normal in southern parts of the state and near normal in the north. It will be cooler than normal with a chance for rainfall later next week.

Climate Summary for September of 2026:For the 4th consecutive year Minnesota recorded a very warm September. Most climate stations reported a mean monthly temperature that was 3°F to 5°F above normal. Overall, with a statewide average monthly temperature of 61.7°F, this September ranked as the 10th warmest in state history. Extremes for the month were 95°F at Madison (Lac Qui Parle County) on the 2nd, and 25°F at Celina (St Louis County) on the 22nd. Frosts occurred in 9 northern counties this month but were not present in the rest of the state.

Within the statewide long term climate network, there were 11 high maximum daily temperature records broken or tied, including 91°F at Wells (Faribault County) on the 6th. Similarly, there were over 40 warm overnight daily minimum temperature records broken or tied, including 71°F at Austion (Mower County) on the 4th.

In terms of rainfall, nearly all climate observers, except for a few in western counties, reported above normal amounts for the month, mostly in the range of 3 inches to 5 inches. The statewide average rainfall was 4.84 inches, marking the 10th wettest September in state history. On the high end, observers in Fillmore County reported over 12 inches of rain, while observers in Houston County reported over 11 inches. The biggest rainfall of the month came from the thunderstorms over southeastern counties over September 18-19. Observers in Houston, Fillmore, and Steele Counties reported from 6 to 8 inches of rain with these storms. There was a great deal of flash flooding in some areas according to the Minnesota State Climatology Office.

There were over 50 daily record rainfall amounts reported from the state climate network, including 5.89 inches at Caledonia (Houston County) on the 19th. As opposed to the drier summer months (June-August), September brought more frequent rainy days, with many observers reporting measurable rain on 10 to 13 days.

Over the month of September, the overall area of Minnesota affected by all forms of drought was reduced from 80 percent at the beginning of the month to 64 percent by the end of the month. The areas in Severe Drought declined from 47 percent to 24 percent, and the area in Extreme Drought declined from 5 percent to 2 percent. By month’s end about 10 percent of the corn crop was harvested and about 20 percent of the soybean crop.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:A recent article in the journal Communications Earth and Environment documents two types of marine heat waves that have emerged in the study of climate change impacts on the oceans. The most common last for around 60 days, but some last up to 90 days or more. These longer duration marine heat waves can have more significant ecological impacts.

The BBC reported this week that there has been a record-setting loss of ice from Swiss glaciers this year. This loss of ice could threaten water supplies for agriculture in the country. Until recently, glaciologists in the Alps considered 2% of ice lost in a single year to be "extreme". This year has seen an estimated 5.5% disappear.

The Weather Channel web site features an interesting article this week about shopping for a winter jacket that will keep you warm. This article emphasizes that a good winter jacket isn't about how thick it looks on the rack. It's about three core things working together: trapped air for insulation, a shell that blocks wind and a breathable membrane that keeps you dry. So if you are shopping for a new winter jacket, check out this article.
MPR listener question:I am wondering if we have had more cloudy days this September than normal. I found myself having symptoms of SAD when usually they don't start until November.
Answer:Yes, much of the state experienced above average number of days with fog and haze this September. In addition, there were more cloudy days than average as well.
MPR listener question:I have noticed that the last few days have been pretty muggy, even though we have had cool to warm temperatures. The mugginess causes uncomfortable sleeping weather for some folks that like to open the windows for evening coolness.
My question is: Why do forecasts only seem to include humidity levels when we're in hotter temperatures? Why not also include dew points and temperature "feel" when were still in the 70s & 80s?

Just curious, because some individuals may want to know when windows can be open for nice nighttime sleeping weather.
Answer:You are correct to focus on dew points relative to your sleeping comfort. Dew points which are measures of the actual amount of water vapor in the air, are more closely related to human comfort than relative humidity.

Aan approximate comfort guide used by the American Meteorological Society is:

Dew point

Typical perception

< 50°F (10°C)

Comfortable/dry

50–59°F (10–15°C)

Comfortable

60–64°F (16–18°C)

Noticeably humid

65–69°F (18–21°C)

Humid/muggy

70–74°F (21–23°C)

Very muggy

≥ 75°F (24°C)

Oppressively humid

This week, temperature were running about 5°F to 8°F above normal this week, but dew points have been mostly in the 60s F which is close to 20°F above normal. In fact, MSP tied the record high dew point on September 30 with a reading of 66°F. So no wonder you have felt some discomfort.

I don’t know where you get your forecasts, but the NOAA-National Weather Service web site (weather.gov) provides day by day, even hour by hour, forecasts for many climate elements, including dew point. So, you might want to routinely use their web site to get your local forecast.
Twin Cities Almanac for October 2nd:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 66 degrees F (plus or minus 10 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is 47 degrees F (plus or minus 7 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for October 2nd:

MSP records for this date include: highest daily maximum temperature of 89 degrees F in 1953; lowest daily maximum temperature of 44 degrees F in 1944; lowest daily minimum temperature of 22 degrees F in 1974; highest daily minimum temperature of 67 degrees F in 2023; record precipitation of 0.90 inches in 2013. No snowfall has been reported on this date.

Average dew point for October 2nd is 42°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 68°F in 1951; and the minimum dew point on this date is 18°F in 2003.
All-time statewide records for October 2nd:The state record high temperature for this date is 95 degrees F at Wheaton (Traverse County) in 1953. The state record low temperature for this date is 9 degrees F at Karlstad (Kittson County) in 1974. The state record precipitation for this date is 4.33 inches at Sandy Lake (Aitkin County) in 1995. Record snowfall for this date is 5.4 inches at Lakefield (Jackson County) in 1999.
Past Weather:The warmest October 2nd in state history occurred in 1953 when over 30 climate stations reported afternoon highs in the 90s F. The cold spot in the state was Grand Marais with a reading of 66°F.

October 2 of 1974 brought a hard freeze to just about every corner of the state. Morning low temperatures ranged from the teens into the 20s F. The afternoon high temperature at Tower only reached 37°F.

October 1-2 of 1999 brought an early season snowfall to Minnesota, especially the southwestern counties where 2-5 inches of snow was common. At least it proved to be the only snowfall of that month.
Outlook:Temperatures will generally be warmer than normal over the weekend, with a chance for rain later in the day on Saturday. More frosts will occur in the north early on Monday morning. The balance of next week will be dry weather with above normal temperatures.

Welcome Rains:Since last Friday (September 11) many climate observers have reported significant rainfall. In fact, over 150 climate stations have reported receiving between 1.50 inches and 2.50 inches of rain. Portions of Wadena and Fillmore Counties reported over 3 inches of rain over the past week. There were even a couple of reports of daily record rainfall. Hokah (Houston County) reported a record 2.05 inches on September 15th, while Delano (Wright County) a record 1.70 inches on September 17th.

Rainfall totals through the first 17 days of the month now exceed 3 inches in 20 Minnesota counties. Of further note, Friday will bring chances for significant rainfall across a wide area of the southern half of the state, and for the balance of the month, there will be more frequent chances for rainfall during the last week of the month.

Drought conditions across the state remain a concern with 38 percent of the state in Moderate Drought, 29 percent in Severe Drought (a drop of 13 percent from last week), and 4 percent in Extreme Drought. The NOAA-Climate Prediction Center released a bit more optimistic Drought Outlook on Thursday (September 17) of this week, highlighting that drought should improve or dissipate over the southern half of Minnesota by the end of December, but drought is expected to remain through the end of the year over portions of northern Minnesota.

BTW: Since last Friday, frosts have occurred in portions of St Louis, Koochiching, and Lake of the Woods Counties, with a statewide low of 27°F reported at Brimson (St Louis County) on September 14th. No sign yet of frost anywhere in the southern half of the state.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The AGU-EOS Bulletin this week features an interesting article about climate change and low-level ozone in major urban areas. Analysis of air pollution trends in large urban areas like Mexico City shows that major air pollutants are indeed being mitigated by reduced emissions, but continue climate warming and changes in atmospheric dynamics seem to be causing a leveling out of atmospheric ozone. It is an interesting paradox that is deserving of much more study.

In other drought news, much of the United Kingdom has been in drought this year. According to a recent assessment from the BBC Weather Center, above average rainfall is needed over the next 7 months to pull most of the country out of drought. Worst areas of drought are around Cornwell, Devon, and East Anglia. The Met Office estimates a one in four chance that half of the country will still be in drought by next spring.

The Weather Channel web site this week featured a discussion of the expected multi-day rainy period coming up that will threaten flooding across the Upper Midwest, including parts of SE Minnesota. A broad areas from southeastern Minnesota through southern Wisconsin, Northern Illinois and Easter Iowa could see total rainfall over the Friday through Sunday period from 3 inches to 5 inches, with some isolated higher amounts. This is due to a moisture-laden slow-moving frontal boundary.
MPR listener question:We were wondering if our Minnesota climate history shows that snow has fallen on every day in September at one time or another? We have a major $5 bet riding on this.
Answer:The answer is no. During the first half of September (1-15), snow has only been reported on two dates historically, September 14 of 1964 when 0.3 inches fell at International Falls, and September 15 of 1916 when 0.4 inches fell at Warroad. Conversely, during the second half of September 16-30), snow has been reported on every date, including 7.5 inches at Long Prairie (Todd County) on September 26 of 1942.
Twin Cities Almanac for September 18th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 71 degrees F (plus or minus 10 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is 51 degrees F (plus or minus 8 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for September 18th:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 93 degrees F in 1891; lowest daily maximum temperature of 47 degrees F in 1991; lowest daily minimum temperature of 32 degrees F in 1929; highest daily minimum temperature of 71 degrees F in 1955; record precipitation of 3.75 inches in 1905. No snowfall has been reported on this date.

Average dew point for September 18th is 52°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 73°F in 1947; and the minimum dew point on this date is 23°F in 1929.
All-time statewide records for September 18th: The state record high temperature for this date is 111 degrees F at Beardsley (Big Stone County) in 1931. The state record low temperature for this date is 22 degrees F at Ada (Norman County) in 1955. The state record precipitation for this date is 5.50 inches at Pleasant Mound (Blue Earth County) in 1900. No snowfall has been reported on this date.
Past Weather:September 18 in 1891 brought summer heat to most parts of Minnesota with daytime temperature readings in the 90s F. Montevideo (Chippewa County) reached a high of 100 degrees F by 3pm after starting out in the morning at just 51°F.

September 18 in1929 was the coldest in history statewide with many climate stations reporting minimum temperatures in the teens and twenties. Nearly every spot in the state reported frost. The daytime high in northern Minnesota only reached the mid-40s F.

September 18 in 1991 brought snow to many parts of western and northern Minnesota. Most climate stations just reported a trace of snow, but in portions of Marshall and Saint Louis Counties measurable snowfall was reported, with up to 2.4 inches at Duluth.
Outlook:Rain will end for most of the state early Saturday, but portions of southeastern Minnesota will see chances of rain and thunderstorms throughout the weekend and into Monday. Temperatures will generally be a few degrees cooler than normal over the weekend and much of next week. rain chances throughout the weekend. Chances for rain return by the end of next week.

 

Warm Start to September Coming to an End:Through the first 10 days of the month, temperatures have been averaging from 5°F to 10°F above normal in most areas of Minnesota. In fact, temperatures of 90°F or higher have been reported in 33 counties. Within the state climate stations network there have been 9 reports of new daily record high temperatures, including 94°F a Theilman (Wabasha County) on the 5th, and 15 reports of record warm overnight temperatures, including 72°F at Pipestone on the 6th.

The warmer than normal temperature pattern will end this weekend and a period of cooler than normal temperatures will begin. Starting on Saturday and running through most of next week much cooler air will blanket the state, bringing overnight low temperatures in the 40s F and 50s F, even some upper 30s F in northern counties. Though cooler, these temperatures are no where near record lows for this time of year.

Some fairly widespread rain over the past week was very welcome across the state. Many northern and southern areas reported over 1 inch of rain, and up to 3 inches in some areas. There were even a few record-setting daily amounts, including:

For September 7th:

1.82 inches at OtterTail
1.93 inches at Pipestone
1.97 inches at Fergus Falls
2.29 inches at Worthington
4.11 inches at Lake Bronson

for September 8th:

1.41 inches at Cambridge

These rains were not factored into the weekly U.S. Drought report which showed that Minnesota has 25 percent of the landscape in Moderate Drought, 42 percent in Severe Drought, and 4 percent in Extreme Drought. As crop harvest gets underway, only 58 percent of the corn is reported by the USDA to be in good to excellent condition, while 56 percent of the soybeans are in good to excellent condition.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The BBC Weather Center this week reports on climate change impacts that convective thunderstorm activity during the northern hemisphere summer has been more disruptive to commercial air traffic over the United Kingdom and northern Europe. Further, this is a trend that is likely to continue as climate change brings more convective thunderstorms to higher latitude cities in Europe. When transcontinental flights arrive over Europe, they are usually low on fuel and therefore have more limited geographic options to seek alternative airports if thunderstorms change their routes and destination. Air traffic controllers hope that scientists will study this type of climate change impact more in the future.

Science Daily reported earlier this month that an extremely large iceberg (29 square miles in size) broke away from Greenland’s Petermann Glacier and drifted into Nares Strait where it collided with Joe Island. But the iceberg survived. It was the largest calving event in Greenland since 2020.
MPR listener question:We have heard you lecture about climate change in Minnesota over the past many years and wanted to know what has been the change in average temperature across the state by season?
Answer:According to the latest NOAA climate statistics which go back to 1895 on a statewide basis here are the seasonal mean temperature changes in Minnesota:

Autumn (Sep-Nov) +2.6°F
Winter (Dec-Feb) +5.2°F
Spring (Mar-May) +2.6°F
Summer (Jun-Aug) +2.6°F

The overall change in annual temperature since 1895 has been +3.5°F
Twin Cities Almanac for September 11th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 75 degrees F (plus or minus 10 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.56 degrees F (plus or minus 8 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for September 11th:

MSP records for this date include: highest daily maximum temperature of 96 degrees F in 1931; lowest daily maximum temperature of 51 degrees F in 1924; lowest daily minimum temperature of 35 degrees F in 1962; highest daily minimum temperature of 75 degrees F in 1931; record precipitation of 3.11 inches in 1900. No snowfall has been reported on this date.

Average dew point for September 11th is 55°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 74°F in 1960; and the minimum dew point on this date is 35°F in 1974.
All-time statewide records for September 11th: The state record high temperature for this date is 111 degrees F at Beardsley (Big Stone County) in 1931. The state record low temperature for this date is 22 degrees F at Ada (Norman County) in 1955. The state record precipitation for this date is 5.50 inches at Pleasant Mound (Blue Earth County) in 1900. No snowfall has been reported on this date.
Past Weather:By far the hottest ever September 11th was in 1931 when every place in the state saw afternoon temperatures climb into the 90s F, except for Two Harbors, Moose Lake, and Grand Marais. Ten climate stations hit the century mark in temperature.

A hard freeze in the north and widespread frosts in the central and southern counties were in the weather headlines for September 11, 1955. The growing season across Minnesota abruptly ended. Temperatures were as low as 22-26 degrees F in the Red River Valley of northwestern Minnesota.

This past Tuesday marked the 126th anniversary of the most lethal hurricane disaster in U.S. history. Galveston, TX was hit by 120 mph winds and a 20 foot storm surge on September 8, 1900. More than 6,000 people drowned and over 3600 homes were destroyed. This hurricane tracked north over Texas and the southern plains to merge with a cold front over Iowa by September 10th. The storm then produced a period of very heavy rain over Minnesota.

In fact, the record Twin Cities rainfall for today's date of 3.11 inches is a direct result of this storm. Other parts of southern Minnesota reported 4 to 6 inches of rainfall as a result of this storm.

Outlook:Cooler over the weekend with an increasing chance for showers and thunderstorms on Sunday, and a greater chance on Monday. Temperatures will generally run cooler than normal for this time of year over much of next week, with a chance for showers by Wednesday and Thursday.

Warm Start to September:The month of September has clearly started warm, with daily average temperatures at most locations in Minnesota running from 5°F to 9°F above normal. In fact, 11 counties have already reported at least one daily maximum temperature of 90°F or higher. This should not be unexpected as 11 of the last 15 Septembers (73 percent) have started out warmer than normal during the first week of the month. The NOAA outlook models continue to favor warmer than normal temperatures through at least mid-month.

Though rainfall over the first few days of the month has been highly variable across the state, a number of observers in southern counties have reported receiving over 1 inch of rain. Some severe thunderstorms moved across northern parts of the Red River Valley, while other thunderstorms moved across the Minnesota State Fairgrounds on Thursday afternoon dropping the temperature by about 10°F and causing attendees to hurry for cover. In Marshall Polk, and Clay Counties (NW MN wind gusts up to 60 mph were reported and nearby areas reported 1 to 2 inches of rain, while around the fairgrounds rainfall was generally less than 0.25 inches. Of further note is that a confident forecast calls for more widespread rainfall across the state for Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday, with perhaps significant amounts of 2 inches or more in some areas. Hopefully this widespread rainfall will materialize as we enter the month of September with 28 percent of the state in Moderate Drought, 48 percent in Severe Drought, and 5 percent in Extreme Drought. In fact portions of Polk, Norman, Clay, Wilkin, Pipestone, Carlton, Pine, Dakota, and Goodhue Counties are in the Extreme Drought Category. In those counties poor crop conditions, low watershed flows, and declining lake levels are all prevalent symptoms of the drought.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The BBC Weather Center web site documents the record-wetting warmest summer in the United Kingdom this year. Their comprehensive climate records go back to 1884, and this summer (June-August) saw many high temperature records set for both hot days and hot nights. Daytime temperatures were as high as 101°F at Kew Gardens on August 13th. There were five widespread Heat Waves recorded over the May through August period.

Science Daily reported this week that the NASA Earth Observatory documented a some very rare rain and snow storms across the Atacama Desert in Chile during the first half of August. Snow was deposited across a very wide area of the desert, and rain was very heavy across the northern coastal areas of Chile with over 1.50 inches reported in places. That amount is huge for this area of the country where steeply slowed terrain is common, and flash floods occur. Officials were at least partially blaming El Nino for the storms.
MPR listener question:We heard you report on TPT Almanac last week that it would take a lot of surplus rain to make up for the drought in some areas of the state where climate observers were reporting 6 to 12 inches less than normal precipitation for the year. What are some of the extreme precipitation deficits in the state for 2026?
Answer:Some of the most extreme reports include:

Zumbrota (Goodhue County) 12.89” below normal
Hastings (Dakota County) 11.66” below normal
Rothsay (Wilkin County) 9.44” below normal
Wabasha (Wabasha County) 9.01 inches below normal
Madison (Lac Qui Parle County) 8.97” below normal
Ada (Norman County) 8.81” below normal
Georgetown (Clay County) 8.44” below normal

For comparison, MSP (Twin Cities) is reporting a precipitation deficit for the year so far of 7.12 inches.
Twin Cities Almanac for September 4th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 77 degrees F (plus or minus 9 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.59 degrees F (plus or minus 7 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for September 4th:

MSP records for this date include: highest daily maximum temperature of 98 degrees F in 1925; lowest daily maximum temperature of 59 degrees F in 1920; lowest daily minimum temperature of 39 degrees F in 1974; highest daily minimum temperature of 73 degrees F in 1960; record precipitation of 2.08 inches in 1911. No snowfall has been reported on this date.

Average dew point for September 4th is 55°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 74°F in 1960; and the minimum dew point on this date is 35°F in 1974.
All-time statewide records for September 4th: The state record high temperature for this date is 103 degrees F at Beardsley (Big Stone County) in 1922 and at Pipestone (Pipestone County) in 1925. The state record low temperature for this date is 22 degrees F at Grand Rapids (Itasca County) in 1918. The state record precipitation for this date is 5.53 inches at Chanhassen (Carver County) in 2005. No snowfall has been reported on this date.
Past Weather:The hottest September 4th in state history occurred in 1925 when 9 Minnesota counties saw afternoon temperatures reach the 100°F mark. Much of the rest of the state reported temperatures in the 90s F.

Widespread frosts were reported on September 4, 1885 bringing an end to the growing season. Many observers in central and northern Minnesota reported morning lows in the 20s F. At Moorhead the daytime high only climbed to 54°F

Strong and slow-moving thunderstorms brought very heavy rainfall to portions of central Minnesota over September 3-4, 2005. From 2 to 5 inches of rain fell in the southwest Metro Area of the Twin Cities. Flooding roads and parking lots were common throughout the west Metro Area and also around Sauk Center.

Outlook:Warm and humid over the weekend and through Monday and Tuesday as well. Temperatures will be above normal and there will be daily chances for showers and thunderstorms. It will start to trend drier and a bit cooler by Wednesday and Thursday.

Preliminary August Climate Summary:For many climate stations in Minnesota, especially in the northern half of the state, the mean August temperature will end up being very close to normal, perhaps a degree either side of normal. For many southern Minnesota climate stations, the mean August temperature will range from 1°F to 3°F above normal. Only observers in Clay, Sherburne, Norman, Polk. Lyon, and Red Lake Counties reported a daily high temperature of 90°F or higher. Most days brought temperatures in the 70s F and 80s F. Extremes for the month ranged from 98°F at Red Lake Falls on the 2nd to 33°F at Tower on the 19th. Not many temperature records were reported from within the state climate station network.

Most climate observers reported below normal rainfall for the month, except for some locations in south-central and southeastern Minnesota where a few heavy thunderstorms occurred. A few places reported some record daily rainfall, including:

3.25” at Grand Meadow on the 1st
2.18” at Albert Lea on the 1st
2.72” at Winnebago on the 8th
1.15” at Cass Lake on the 15th

Not many days brought rainfall to most locations. Some locations reported rainfall on only 6 or fewer days, and mostly light amounts. Many observers reported less than 1 inch of rainfall for the month. Scattered showers expected over the last three days of August may add modestly to these totals.

As a result of the mostly sparse rainfall, drought worsened across the state. The U.S. Drought Monitor reports this week that over 30 percent of the state landscape is in Moderate Drought, while 45 percent is in Severe Drought and 3 percent in Extreme Drought. Early in June these percentages were only 14 percent Moderate Drought and 1 percent Severe Drought. So the summer has not been kind to Minnesota crops. According to USDA Weekly Crop Condition Reports, the condition of corn and soybeans has continued to decline week by week during August. The latest reports from this week show that 64 percent of the state corn crop is still in good to excellent condition with some corn fields already reaching maturity. Reports on the soybean crop this week show that 65 percent is in good to excellent condition with some of the fields already dropping leaves.

BTW one other notable feature of the August climate is that winds were diminished and generally less than average, with several periods of calm. This is distinctively in contrast to most of the months this year which brought above normal wind speeds.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The BBC reported that a glacier collapse was the main cause of devastating flash flooding in Nepal and Tibet this week. There was widespread destruction and death as enormous volumes of fast-moving water washed away villages, roads, and bridges.

The Weather Channel web site featured an article this week about how the human body senses heat and cold and what new research is showing about how human cells respond to extreme temperatures. This research may be useful to the medical profession in guidance for taking care of ourselves in extreme heat or extreme cold.
MPR listener question:Now that we are almost through August, can you tell us how this summer ranked historically in terms of temperature? Seems like a hot one.
Answer:Yes, it was a warmer than normal summer. On a statewide basis this June through August period will likely fall among the warmest 20 in history. For the Twin Cities Metro Area, it will likely be the 5th warmest summer in history, trailing only 2021, 1988, 1933, and 2012.
Twin Cities Almanac for August 28th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 79 degrees F (plus or minus 9 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.61 degrees F (plus or minus 7 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for August 28th:

MSP records for this date include: highest daily maximum temperature of 94 degrees F in 1955; lowest daily maximum temperature of 61 degrees F in 1935; lowest daily minimum temperature of 42 degrees F in 1934; highest daily minimum temperature of 75 degrees F in 1969; record precipitation of 1.11 inches in 1950. No snowfall has been reported on this date.

Average dew point for August 28th is 59°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 77°F in 1955; and the minimum dew point on this date is 34°F in 1946.
All-time statewide records for August 28th: The state record high temperature for this date is 104 degrees F at Canby (Yellow Medicine County) in 1937. The state record low temperature for this date is 21 degrees F at Tower (St Louis County) in 1986. The state record precipitation for this date is 6.00 inches at Litchfield (Meeker County) in 1960. No snowfall has been reported on this date.
Past Weather:August 28, 1984 was the hottest in history with most parts of the state reporting afternoon temperatures in the 90s F. In the west, portions of Lyon, Marshall, Clay, Norman, and Traverse Counties saw the thermometer top 100°F.

Portions of ten northern Minnesota counties reported frost on the morning of August 28, 1986. Tower, Thorhult, Hibbing, and Cotton reported morning lows in the 20s F.

August 28-29, 2002 brought heavy thunderstorms to northwestern Minnesota and the Red River Valley. Many climate stations reported 2-5 inches of rain with hail. Red Lake Falls and Argyle reported nearly 6 inches of rainfall. It was the last heavy rains of a very wet summer in northwestern Minnesota.
Outlook:Warmer than normal temperatures for Saturday through Monday with a chance for showers and thunderstorms Saturday and again on Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures will generally remain a bit warmer than normal next week, with periodic chances for showers, especially in the southern half of the state.

August 19 and 20 brought coolest temperatures for the month:Wednesday and Thursday (August 19-20) brought the coolest temperatures of the month so far for many areas of the state. Many observers reported low temperatures in the 40s and 50s F. Extremely low dew points in northern counties helped overnight low temperatures drop even more. Eleven climate stations in Koochiching, Lake, and St Louis Counties reported low temperatures in the 30s F, with Tower reporting just 33°F on August 19th.

This week, scattered thunderstorms brought significant rainfall to parts of Minnesota, especially the north, where several observers reported rainfall totals ranging from 1 to 2 inches. Many other areas in the southern half of the state saw less than a half inch of rain during the week. Drought status in the state remained a big concern with about 30 percent of the landscape still in Moderate Drought, 44 percent in Severe Drought, and 1 percent (parts of Polk, Normand, and Clay Counties in the Red River Valley) now in Extreme Drought. BTW some observers in the Red River Valley area have reported only about half of normal precipitation for the year.

USDA crop condition reports this week for Minnesota showed that 66 percent of the corn crop remains in good to excellent condition ( a decline from the 71 percent reported last week) and 67 percent of the soybean crop remains in good to excellent condition (a decline from the 72 percent reported last week).
Weekly Weather Potpourri:This week’s AGU-EOS Bulletin features an article by Kimberly Cartier about the U.S. Forest Service rescinding the 2001 Roadless Conservation Area Rule from 45 million acres of federal land. Most of the roadless areas are in western states, with more than 95% located in Alaska, Arizona, California, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. Some suggest that this move will increase logging production and actually increase the threat of wildfires by making so much federal land more accessible by road.

The BBC Weather Center has posted an interesting article this week about the increased tourism in Scotland this summer that has been provoked by the frequent Heat Waves over the rest of the United Kingdom where many stations have reported their hottest summer. It seems that Scotland provides a respite from the heat much as the north shore area of Minnesota along Lake Superior which for generations has been a highly desired summertime destination.

Wikipedia provided a good synopsis of the destruction that Hurricane Lala caused to the big island of Hawaii last week, mostly on August 16th. Besides wind gusts up to 130 mph, Lala delivered between 25 and 50 inches of rainfall to parts of the island causing devastating flash flooding. Lala has since move into the central Pacific Ocean and returned to hurricane status.
MPR listener question:Last week you answered a listener question about August temperature trends in Minnesota over the past 20 years, pointing out a strong warming trend. What about any August trends in rainfall? We are very dry this month in Redwood County with less than 1 inch of rainfall so far.
Answer:Any trend in August rainfall for your area of the state is not evident over the past 20 years as observers there have reported about as many wetter than normal months of August as drier than normal months of August. One disconcerting short term trend is that 5 of the most recent 7 months of August have been drier than normal in your rea of the state, and it appears that this month will fall in that category as well.
Twin Cities Almanac for August 21st:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 80 degrees F (plus or minus 7 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.62 degrees F (plus or minus 6 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for August 21st:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 98 degrees F in 1947; lowest daily maximum temperature of 59 degrees F in 1966; lowest daily minimum temperature of 44 degrees F in 2004; highest daily minimum temperature of 74 degrees F in 1968, and record precipitation of 3.64 inches in 1924. No snowfall has occurred on this date.

Average dew point for August 21st is 58°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 78°F in 1903 and the minimum dew point on this date is 33 degrees F in 2004.
All-time statewide records for August 21st:The state record high temperature for this date is.103 degrees F at Moorhead (Clay County) in 1947 and at Milan (Chippewa County) in 1976. The state record low temperature for this date is 23 degrees F at Tower (St Louis County) in 2004. The statewide record for precipitation on this date is 6.30 inches at Montevideo (Chippewa County) in 2002. No snow has fallen on this date.
Past Weather:An F-5 (winds over 260 mph) tornado struck Rochester about 5:30 pm on August 21, 1883, killing 37 people and injuring 200. This tornado also lifted a train off the tracks and tipped it over. Attending to the injured and rebuilding the city resulted in the formation of the Mayo Clinic.

August 21st in 1947 and 1976 brought plenty of heat to Minnesota with widespread readings of 90°F or higher. Many western communities reached 100°F in the afternoon.

Strong thunderstorms brought heavy rainfall to western and southwestern Minnesota over August 20-21, 2002. Portions of Lac Qui Parle, Yellow Medicine, Chippewa, Meeker, and Rock Counties received over 5 inches of rain. Dawson, Madison, Montevideo, Litchfield, Pipestone, and Amboy all reported daily record rainfall amounts.

August 21 in 2004 brought very cold temperatures to the state. Many observers reported a morning low in the 30s F. Observers in Hubbard, Itasca, Cass, and St Louis Counties reported frost with temperature readings in the 20s F. Ground frost was reported as far south as Mower County.
Outlook:Cooler than normal, but sunny over the weekend. There will be increasing clouds later on Monday with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Continued cooler than normal Monday and Tuesday with a chance for showers Tuesday into Wednesday. Temperatures will climb back closer to normal for the second half of next week.

Mid-month climate check-up:Through the first two weeks of August temperatures have generally been warmer than normal in much of southern Minnesota and cooler than normal in many northern locations where several observers have reported morning low temperatures in the 30s F. On Thursday (August 13) of this week the morning low temperature was just 35°F at Wolf Ridge Environmental Learning Center in Lake County.

Rainfall through the first two weeks of August has remained mostly sparse and spotty. Only areas of south-central and southeastern Minnesota have seen above normal rainfall so far. Much of the state has recorded less than an inch of rainfall so far. According to this week’s U.S. Drought Monitor update, 30 percent of the Minnesota landscape is in Moderate Drought and 45 percent is in Severe Drought. According to the weekly DNR-Stream Flow Reports, many streams in north-central and northeastern Minnesota are funning very low, below the 10th percentile in volume flow for this time of year.

USDA crop condition reports this week so that the corn crop is moving into the dent stage in its development and soybeans are in the setting and filling pod stage. 71 percent of the state corn crop is said to be in good to excellent condition, while 72 percent of the soybean crop is rated good to excellent.

The climate pattern for the week ahead tends to favor near normal temperature conditions, as well as slightly wetter than normal. So hopefully the state will see some beneficial rains by the middle of next week.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The BBC reported on yet another summer Heat Wave in the United Kingdom this week. Many areas reported afternoon temperatures in the 90s F, and Kew Gardens reported 100°F on August 13. In fact, August 13th was the 38 day this summer where temperatures somewhere in the UK have exceeded 86°F breaking the previous record of 34 days. Heat Waves have been a frequent visitor this summer to many parts of Western Europe.

Speaking of Heat Waves, according to Al Jazeera across Western Europe, over 135 million people have experienced some form of Heat Wave this summer. Especially hit hard were the UK, Spain, France, and Italy. Some areas experienced up to 5 different Heat Waves this summer. Many temperature records have been set for both hot days and warm nights.
MPR listener question:It seems like August has been exceptionally warm in recent years, bringing us some exceptionally high Heat Index Values. Is this a trend?
Answer:Yes, an argument can be made for a warming trend in August, as the last cooler than normal month of August was back in 2019, and only 4 of the most recent 20 months of August have been cooler than normal on a statewide basis. Putting an exclamation point on this trend is the fact that the National Weather Service has had to issue Heat Advisories or Extreme Heat Warnings during three of the four most recent months of August. High dew point conditions inflated Heat Index Values well about the 105°F mark for brief periods in August of 2022, 2023, and 2024.
Twin Cities Almanac for August 14th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 81 degrees F (plus or minus 7 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.63 degrees F (plus or minus 6 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for August14th:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 96 degrees F in 1978; lowest daily maximum temperature of 65 degrees F in 1887; lowest daily minimum temperature of 43 degrees F in 1964; highest daily minimum temperature of 72 degrees F in 1978, and record precipitation of 1.00 inches in 1981. No snowfall has occurred on this date.

Average dew point for August 14th is 59°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 76°F in 1978 and the minimum dew point on this date is 32 degrees F in 1933.
All-time statewide records for August 14th:The state record high temperature for this date is.105 degrees F at Campbell (Wilkin County) in 1938 and at Hawley (Clay County) in 1984. The state record low temperature for this date is 25 degrees F at Tower (St Louis County) in 1977. The statewide record for precipitation on this date is 6.75 inches at Annandale 1.9W (Wright County) in 2023. No snow has fallen on this date.
Past Weather:August 14 of 1964 brought a very cold morning, especially to northern counties of Minnesota. At least a dozen climate stations reported morning frosts, with some morning lows in the upper 20s F. It was just 27°F at both Big Fork and Cotton. Cloud cover suppressed the daytime high temperatures too, as Grand Meadow in southeastern Minnesota only made it up to 62°F.

Over 30 Minnesota communities reported new record high maximum temperatures on August 14 of 1965. Though most recorded temperatures in the 90s F, some western areas of the state saw 100°F. It was a warm muggy night too with many climate stations reporting overnight low temperatures in the mid 70s F.

Over two dozen southern Minnesota climate stations reported daily record rainfall amounts from heavy thunderstorms on August 14 of 1981. Many observers reported 2-3 inches of rainfall and Gaylord reported over 5 inches which flooded many corn fields in the area.
Outlook:Chance for showers on Saturday with near normal temperatures. Cooler and drier on Sunday. Temperatures will moderate near normal much of next week with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms, especially late Monday through Wednesday.

Spotty climate pattern to start August:After enduring many weather/climate challenges in July, Minnesota citizens have seen a somewhat benign and spotty climate pattern emerge for the first week of August. Some areas of the state have recorded average temperatures that are near normal or 1-2°F above normal, while others have recorded mostly below normal temperatures. Atmospheric water vapor content has fallen dramatically from what it was in July, with many days bringing dew points in the 40s and 50s F, a much more comfortable range. Many places have reported daytime high temperatures in the 70s and 80s F. Over August 2nd, observers in northwestern Minnesota (Red Lake, Polk, and Clay Counties) reported afternoon high temperatures in the 90s F, while on August 5th the observer at Brimson (St Louis County) reported a morning low temperature of just 36°F.

Rainfall has mostly been sparse or absent, except for portions of south-central and southeastern Minnesota where many climate observers have reported 2-3 inches of rainfall so far. Much needed rainfall was welcome in northern Minnesota on August 3rd when amounts up to an inch were reported from areas around the BWCA where wildfires are still an issue. In south-central and southeastern counties some record daily rainfall amounts were delivered by thunderstorms over August 3rd. Some of these records were:

3.25 inches at Grand Meadow (Mower County)
2.38 inches at Winnebago (Faribault County)
2.24 inches at Hokah (Houston County)
2.18 inches at Albert Lea (Freeborn County)
1.90 inches at Preston (Fillmore County)

However, for much of the rest of the state rainfall has been less than half an inch so far this month. The U.S. Drought Monitor this week places 36 percent of the Minnesota landscape in Moderate Drought and 34 percent in Severe Drought. USDA reports this week estimate that 75 percent of the state corn and soybean crops are in good to excellent condition thanks to adequate stored soil moisture from last fall and earlier this year.

Crop producers who attended Farmfest this week near Morton, MN were encouraged to hear that more than the usual amount of rain is forecast for the period through the first 3 weeks of August, as crop yield potential can still benefit from the additional moisture.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The BBC Weather Center reported this week that July was the driest in history (190 years of records) for England and Wales. For England average rainfall was just a quarter of an inch, while in Wales the average was 0.37 inches. Very warm temperatures also accompanied the dryness, with England recording its 2nd warmest ever July, and Wales recording its warmest July. The month of July was also the sunniest on record.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Typhoon Dolphin was expected to pass across Okinawa in the Western Pacific on Friday this week. It was generating wind gusts to 110-115 mph and sea wave heights of 40 feet. It is expected to carry on towards the coast of China over the weekend and early next week.
MPR listener question:As we plan to take our 4-Hers to the State Fair this year, many have been wondering about the weather during the fair. What is the average number of days when the maximum temperature hits 90°F during the State Fair.
Answer:Historically, the average number of days with a maximum temperature of 90°F or greater is about 2 days. There have been years when 4-5 days bring such temperatures but those are pretty rare. Overnight low temperatures usually range from 57°F to 62°F, but have been as low as 34°F

Speaking of the State Fair, I will be there at the MPR stage on August 28th, at 10 am to be a talk weather on TPT-Almanac program with Cathy Wurzer and Eric Eskola; and again on Friday, September 4th at Dan Patch Park at 10 am for the 30th Annual State Fair Weather Quiz on Minnesota Public Radio. Please drop by if you are at the fair.
Twin Cities Almanac for August 7th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 82 degrees F (plus or minus 8 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.64 degrees F (plus or minus 6 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for August 7th:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 98 degrees F in 2001; lowest daily maximum temperature of 61 degrees F in 1917; lowest daily minimum temperature of 45 degrees F in 1972; highest daily minimum temperature of 76 degrees F in 2001, and record precipitation of 2.29 inches in 1984. No snowfall has occurred on this date.

Average dew point for August 7th is 60°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 77°F in 2001 and the minimum dew point on this date is 42 degrees F in 1989.
All-time statewide records for August 7th:The state record high temperature for this date is.105 degrees F at Lower St Anthony Falls (Hennepin County) in 2001. The state record low temperature for this date is 29 degrees F at Brimson (St Louis County) in 1989. The statewide record for precipitation on this date is 8.62 inches at St Peter (Nicollet County) in 1968. No snow has fallen on this date.
Past Weather:Strong thunderstorms brought heavy rain to many parts of southern Minnesota over August 7-8 of 1968. Many observers reported 1 to 3 inches of rain. Wells (Faribault County) reported nearly 5 inches of rain, Mankato (Blue Earth County) reported over 7.50 inches, and St Peter (Nicollet County) reported over 9 inches of rain. The Minnesota River rose abruptly flooding some nearby farm fields.

August 7 of 1989 brought a very cold morning to northern Minnesota. Many observers reported low temperatures in the 30s F. There were even frosts reported in portions of St Louis County. Many areas also reported afternoon high temperatures in the 60s with cool northerly winds.

August 7 of 2001 brought record to near record heat to much of southern Minnesota. Many climate stations reported maximum temperatures in the mid to upper 90s F, with Heat Index Values even higher. Overnight low temperatures ranged from the mid to upper 70s F. It was a grueling and tragic week for the Minnesota Vikings training camp in Mankato as earlier in the week they lost star tackle Kory Stringer who died from Heat Stroke.
Outlook:Near normal temperatures over the weekend with chances for showers and thunderstorms Saturday night in southern sections of the state. Continued near normal or even cooler than normal temperatures next week with chances for rain on Monday, and again Tuesday in the northern sections of the state.

July Climate Summary:July of 2026 will be long remembered for its persistent heat and record poor air quality, as well as the wildfires in the BWCA.

Average monthly temperatures were generally from 4°F to 6°F above normal across the state, placing this month among the 5 or 6 warmest Julys in state history. In northeastern Minnesota some climate stations reported their 2nd warmest July in history, while in north-central Minnesota it was the third warmest.

Many climate observers reported 12 or more days with maximum temperatures of 90°F or greater, and some reported as many at 15 such days. Climate observers in 7 counties reported at least one day with a maximum temperature of 100°F or greater. Remarkably, both Kettle Falls (100°F on the 14th) and Seagull Lake (101°F on the 13th) reported temperatures reaching the century mark for the first time in history there.

The NOAA National Weather Service issued multiple Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings during the month, with Heat Index Values over 100°F at dozens of locations around the state. In fact on Sunday, July 26 Heat Index Values reached near record or record values at some locations in the southern and central counties of the state, ranging from 110°F to 120°F. St James in Watonwan County reported a Heat Index of 122°F on that date. The NOAA-National Weather Service Forecast Office in Chanhassen included a summary of the heat on their web page.

Almost all of the Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings were provoked by very high dew points, which ranged from 75°F to 85°F at times. In fact, some climate stations reported multiple days with dew points of 80°F or higher, record-setting at most locations.

The heat was persistent with most observers reporting 26 or 27 days with warmer than normal temperatures and only 4 or 5 with cooler than normal temperatures. Within the state climate station network, we set or tied 45 daily high maximum temperature records, including 98°F on the 12th and 97°F on the 13th at International Falls (the nation’s Ice Box). We also set or tied daily warm minimum temperature records 72 times including 75°F at Baudette on the 13th and 14th.

Temperature extremes for the month were 104°F an Meander (St Louis County) on the 13th and 35°F at Wolf Ridge Environmental Learning Center (Lake County) on the 6th. There were a number of days during the month when northern Minnesota was warmer than southern Minnesota, a real anomaly for the month of July.

In the Twin Cities, a record was established for the month of July as 19 days brought an overnight minimum temperature of 70°F or higher, breaking the record of 18 days from July of 1935. For the Twin Cities climate record, this July was the 6th warmest in history based on mean monthly temperature. The Twin Cities finished July with 14 days bringing high temperatures of 90°F or greater, the most since July of 2006. The Twin Cities also reported a maximum temperature of 100°F on July 27th.

With most fire outbreaks triggered by lightning storms, close to 25 wildfires were reported in July. Their spread and ferocity was amplified by the heat and dryness as they burned over 77,00 acres mostly across the Superior National Forest, closing down the BWCA. Even at month’s end, a number of fires were nowhere near fully contained.

July was drier than normal in most areas of Minnesota, except for some south-central and southeastern counties where strong thunderstorms brought above normal rainfall. At least a dozen climate stations in those areas reported record daily rainfall amounts, including 7.30 inches at Grand Meadow, 5.41 inches at Preston and 5.28 inches at Caledonia on July 2nd, and 5.95 inches at Austin on July 9th. Conversely, many northern areas of the state reported less than 1.50 inches of rain for the entire month. Some of the extreme wet and dry rainfall totals for the month include:

13.39 inches at Spring Valley (Fillmore County)
13.20 inches at Grand Meadow (Mower County)
11.88 inches at Austin (Mower County)
10.27 inches at Ellendale (Steele County)

0.87 inches at Pequot Lakes (Crow Wind County)
0.90 inches at Lake Wilson (Murray County)
1.20 inches at Pine River Dam (Crow Wing County)
1.28 inches at Kettle Falls (St Louis County)

Please note these figures exclude most of the substantial rainfall from July 30-31, some of which will be reported as rainfall on August 1st because of the observers observation cycle. This is unfortunate because some of the rainfall for July 31 was record-breaking, such as the 2.16 inches at Wheaton (Traverse County) and 1.57 inches at Marshall (Lyon County). Some other observers reported 3 inches or more.

With the drier than normal month in most areas of the state, drought expanded by three-fold in terms of state area designated to be in either Moderate Drought or Severe Drought. As the month finished this week, Moderate Drought occupied 41 percent of the state landscape and Severe Drought occupied 35 percent.

The USDA weekly crop condition report for Minnesota this week showed a disturbing trend. Reports show that the percent of the state corn crop in good to excellent condition dropped to 77 percent, while the percent of the state soybean crop in good to excellent condition dropped to 78 percent. In these combined categories crop conditions for both crops had been above 80 percent all summer, but the heat and dryness definitely had some negative consequences.

More details on the July climate in Minnesota can be found at the Minnesota State Climatology Office web site under the Climate Journal section.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The United Kingdom Environmental Agency declared this week that half of the country is now in drought and water conservation measures will be emphasized. River volume is low, wildfire risk is increasing and some farmers are harvesting crops early. This is the third drought in the past 5 years (2022, 2025, and now 2026). Heat waves have added to the negative impacts.

This week’s AGU-EOS Bulletin has a fascinating article about recent research into derechos (straight line wind storms) that occur across the USA. Scientists have compiled a detailed 70 year archive of such storms and are finding they form in three regions of the USA: the Midwest/Ohio Valley, the Northern Plains, and the Southern Plains. They are also responsible for some of the most widespread power outages ever reported in the USA.
MPR listener question:We saw that the Twin Cities did hit the century mark in temperature this month with a maximum temperature of 100°F on the 27th. How often do we see 100°F or greater during July from a historical basis?
Answer:In the last 155 years of climate records for the Twin Cities, July has brought at least 100°F or greater day only 26 times (about 17 percent of the time). It happened 8 times in July of 1936, and the last time July produced a 100°F or greater temperature in the Twin Cities was 2012.

Twin Cities Almanac for July 31st:

The average MSP high temperature for this date is 83 degrees F (plus or minus 6 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.65 degrees F (plus or minus 6 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for July 31st:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 105 degrees F in 1988; lowest daily maximum temperature of 68 degrees F in 1898; lowest daily minimum temperature of 47 degrees F in 1924; highest daily minimum temperature of 80 degrees F in 2006, and record precipitation of 0.79 inches in 1911. No snowfall has occurred on this date.

Average dew point for July 31st is 60°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 78°F in 1987 and the minimum dew point on this date is 39 degrees F in 1936.
All-time statewide records for July 31st:The state record high temperature for this date is.110 degrees F at Madison (Lac Qui Parle County) in 1988. The state record low temperature for this date is 31 degrees F at Sawbill Camp (Cook County) in 1937. The statewide record for precipitation on this date is 6.70 inches at Albert Lea (Freeborn County) in 1961. No snow has fallen on this date.
Past Weather:On July 31 of 1903, 14 communities in northern Minnesota reported morning low temperatures in the 30s F. There was even frost in the area around Warroad. Under constant cloud cover and with a cool north wind, the climate observer at Luverne (Rock County) reported a daytime high temperature of only 57°F.

July 31 of 1988 brought record-setting high maximum temperatures to most parts of Minnesota. After temperatures of 100°F or greater were reported from 37 counties. In Kandiyohi County it was a difficult night to sleep as the overnight low was a very warm 80°F.

During the record-setting wet summer of 1993, strong thunderstorms brought 2-4 inches of rain to many parts of southern and central Minnesota. New London (Kandiyohi County) reported over 5 inches of rain. This storm concluded a very wet month of July, with many climate stations reporting total monthly rainfall from 7 to 11 inches.
Outlook:Temperatures fall back closer to normal and even cooler than normal in sone places over the weekend and remain that way through the first week of August. There will be an increasing chance for showers and thunderstorms beginning later on Monday and into Wednesday. Mostly sunny days thereafter to the weekend.

July Heat Has Been Extraordinary:Last week I wrote about the combination of heat and poor air quality, but further analysis shows that the heat was very extraordinary. For example, the statewide average temperature for the 10 days from July 11 to July 20 was 77°F. This is the second highest statewide average temperature in history for this 10-day period, surpassed only by 1936 when the 10-day statewide average was 82.6°F. During this 10-day interval this month, there were 43 daily maximum temperature records set within the state climate station network, including three very unusual ones. Baudette measured 99°F on July 12th, International Falls measured 98°F on July 12th, and Gunflint Lake measured 98°F on July 14th. These temperatures are among the warmest ever measured at those three locations. Even more astonishing, Kettle Falls on the border with Canada and imbedded in Voyageurs National Park, reported a record high temperature of 100°F on July 14, the highest temperature ever measured there. Further, the Kettle Falls reading was the highest temperature in the state on that date!

In addition to the record high maximum temperatures reported around the state, there were also over 60 record warm minimum temperatures reported, many in the mid to upper 70s F. Both Baudette and Cass Lake reported record high minimum temperatures on July 13th of 75°F. A further note was provided by former State Climatologist Greg Spoden who reported that the 10 consecutive days from July 11-20 produced a record longevity streak for the month of July in the Twin Cities climate record, as the minimum temperature remained 71°F or higher. This 10 day streak is only surpassed by the 11 days from July 24 too August 2 of 1935 when the overnight minimum temperatures were all 71°F or greater.

The persistent heat and lack of rainfall contributed over the past week to an expansion of drought across Minnesota. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor 31 percent of the state landscape is in Moderate Drought and 17 percent is in Severe Drought. Most of these areas are in north-central, northeast, and southwester Minnesota. Except for this coming Sunday, chances for rain look slim for the remainder of July. So, I expect that drought areas will continue to expand. According to USDA reports, 80 percent of the state’s corn and soybean crops remain in good to excellent condition, sustained by stored soil moisture deeper in the soil rootzone.
Minnesota temperature trivia:During the state’s hottest month ever, July of 1936, nearly every corner of the state, except some areas along the north shore of Lake Superior, recorded at least one 100°F day as well as multiple 90°F days. But on July 24 of 1936 weather observers at Sawbill Camp in Cook County reported a frost, with a morning low temperature of 32°F. Go figure. I am sure very dry air had a lot to do with it.
Professor Lewis F. Richardson, non-conformistOne of the pioneers in numerical weather prediction in the early 20th century (using the equations of fluid dynamics to solve for motions and turbulent flows in the atmosphere), Professor Richardson was one of the most esteemed members of the British Meteorological Office. Before computer technology was available, Professor Richardson proposed that numerical weather predictions could be made using scores of desk top calculators to solve the basic equations of atmospheric motions.

A highly religious man, he was a conscientious objector during WWI and served in an ambulance unit in France from 1916-1919. Described as short-tempered and without respect for authority, he was considered a maverick in the British scientific community.

In 1920, he resigned from the Meteorological Office when it became part of the Air Ministry and somewhat more dedicated to supporting military operations. Losing his research talents was a bitter blow to the Meteorological Office. Richardson then spent the rest of his career primarily as a teacher and a researcher who attempted to model the statistics of war. In later life he wrote two books on war and peace. He died in 1953, but today there is a Richardson Institute for Conflict and Peace Research which helps carry on his work.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The National Academy of Science recently released a new report entitled “Attribution of Extreme Weather and Climate Events and Their Impacts 2026.” This report is quite significant in demonstrating the improvements in attribution science that lead to greater confidence in associating various extreme weather and climate events with climate change. More comprehensive datasets, as well as compilation of a longer history of events has produced greater certainty in attribution science. Extreme events related to heat, cold, heavy rainfall events, and droughts are easier to tie together with climate change.

According to the BBC portions of Wales in the United Kingdom are suffering from wildfires and drought. Water flows in streams and rivers are very low. Rainfall has been scarce this month, with only about 5 percent of normal reported so far in July. This July is on course to become the driest in 190 years for Wales. Water conservation is being stressed.

The NOAA-National Hurricane Center reports that Hurricane Fausto is moving west across the Central Pacific Ocean and is expected to degrade to a Tropical Storm status as it approaches Hawaii by Tuesday of next week. It is currently producing winds of 85 mph and moving west at about 14 mph.
MPR listener question:Our parents sometimes talk about the famous flash flood of July 23 in 1987 when their basement flooded in the Twin Cities. They said that 10 inches of rain fell, and you commented in one of your books that it was one of the most intense rains ever in Minnesota in terms of hourly rainfall rates. What was the maximum rainfall rate?
Answer:Yes, this remains one of the most intense rainstorms ever in Minnesota. The 10 inches of rain was measured over 6 hours, but according to several recording rain gauges the maximum rainfall rate approached nearly 3 inches in one hour. That is equivalent to most tropical storms and hurricanes. Another rainstorm that came close to a rainfall rate of 3 inches per hour was the famous August 30, 1977 storm that closed the State Fairgrounds. That storm delivered 7.28 inches of rain over a short period of time.
Twin Cities Almanac for July 24th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 83 degrees F (plus or minus 7 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.65 degrees F (plus or minus 6 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for July 24th:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 104 degrees F in 1941; lowest daily maximum temperature of 65 degrees F in 1915; lowest daily minimum temperature of 49 degrees F in 1891; highest daily minimum temperature of 78 degrees F in 1934, and record precipitation of 1.69 inches in 2012. No snowfall has occurred on this date.

Average dew point for July 24th is 61°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 78°F in 1941 and the minimum dew point on this date is 39 degrees F in 1946.
All-time statewide records for July 24th:The state record high temperature for this date is.110 degrees F at New London (Kandiyohi County) in 1901 and at Canby (Yellow Medicine County) in 1940. The state record low temperature for this date is 26 degrees F at Tower (St Louis County) in 2004. The statewide record for precipitation on this date is 5.50 inches at New Richland (Waseca County) in 1902. No snow has fallen on this date.
Past Weather:An intense Heat Wave gripped southern and central Minnesota in late July of 1901. On July 24th, the temperature reached 100°F or greater in 26 counties. The overnight low temperatures were record-setting warm too, mostly in the mid to upper 70s F. Faribault (Rice County) reported an overnight minimum temperature of 82°F. The Heat Wave which had started on July 13th, thankfully ended by July 26th.

On July 24 of 1987 thousands of Minnesota citizens were trying to clean up flooded basements following the terrible flash flood of July 23-24. Many climate stations in eastern Minnesota reported 4 to 6 inches of rainfall overnight, with widespread street flooding. The core areas around the Twin Cities reported 7 to 10 inches of rainfall and portions of the 494-694 interstate corridor around the cities had to be closed become of flooding. This storm came in the middle of what was otherwise a summer of drought for much of the state.

It was a record-setting cold morning on July 24 of 2004. Over 70 climate stations reported record low temperatures, with 30s F reported in at least 3 northeastern Minnesota counties. Frosts were reported at Brimson, Embarrass, Hibbing, and Tower. It was the second consecutive year with frosts on July 24th for some northern communities. Daytime highs only reached the low 60s F along the north shore of Lake Superior.
Outlook:We will see a return to well above normal temperatures this weekend with a chance for showers and thunderstorms on Sunday night. The National Weather Service has issued an Extreme Heat Watch for both Saturday and Sunday for much of the southern half of Minnesota. Temperatures in the 90s F with Heat Index Values over 100°F are expected in many areas. Temperatures will remain warmer than normal for the last week of July, with little chance for rain, except in the far north there will be a slight chance Wednesday night into Thursday.

July Heat Wave coupled with worst air quality:Since last Friday, many Minnesota climate stations have been reporting daily temperatures that are from 8°F to 14°F above normal for this time of year, with many reporting continuous days with maximum temperatures of 90°F or greater. In addition, many stations have reported several consecutive nights of overnight minimum temperatures ranging from 70°F to 76°F. More than a dozen long-term climate stations have reported some record-setting daily high temperatures, including International Falls with 98°F on the 12th, Duluth with 91°F on the 12th, and Cass Lake with 95°F on the 13th. In addition, there have been over 30 reports of record-setting warm nights, including a minimum temperature of 75°F at Detroit Lakes on the 12th.

Higher dew points this week have pushed daily Heat Index Values into the triple digits for many locations around the state, especially over Monday through Wednesday when many areas reported Heat Index Values from 101°F to 108°F. These values imposed a great deal of stress on outdoor workers, as well as farm livestock.

The daily Air Quality Index values grew worse and worse this week, producing some of the worst AQI values ever measured in the state of Minnesota, in some cases 500 to 800 for fine particulate matter (PM2.5). The persistence of unhealthy AQI readings of 150 or higher caused cancellation of many outdoor activities, including the Wednesday night and Thursday matches at the USA Cup Youth Soccer matches in Blaine, MN. The AQI readings at Blaine were above 200 from 4pm on Wednesday (July 15) right through 8pm on Thursday evening and were not expected to drop below 150 until overnight Thursday into Friday. USA Cup soccer matches were expected to resume on Friday morning.

Friday morning brought terrible AQI readings to northeastern Minnesota, ranging from 400-900, but thankfully rain showers were moving across north-central and northeastern areas of the state, including the BWCA. Some observers had already reported half inch to over an inch of rain by 8am. This is welcome news for the firefighting in the area. The DNR-State Climatology Office website provide a good summary of the AQI across the state this week. Their analysis suggests the worst AQI ever observed in Minnesota has occurred this week.

Besides the horrible air quality and oppressive heat this week, there was also expansion of the drought in areas across Minnesota. Moderate Drought expanded to 25 percent of the state landscape, while Severe Drought expanded to 13 percent. Wildfires in the BWCA expanded rapidly under the hot and dry conditions and combined with wildfires in Canada to spread smole plumes widely across the Great Lakes Region and into the northeastern states. Air Quality Alerts were issued in 12 or more states by Thursday of this week.

Next week is expected to bring more moderate temperatures, but not much rainfall. Hopefully overall air quality will improve as well, but some further episodes of unhealthy AQI readings are likely.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:Jonathan Erdman takes a comprehensive look at the wildfire situation across Canada and Minnesota in his post on the Weather Channel website. There are over 800 wildfires currently in Canada that are contributing to the smoke plumes observed in satellite imagery across North America. Northwest winds aloft have been bringing the smoke from western Canada and Manitoba to areas of the Great Lakes and northeast USA. These winds are expected to persist through much of July.

There is a good article on the BBC website this week that describes the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, or AMOC - a vast, north-south system of currents that carries warm surface water towards the Arctic and returns colder water thousands of miles south through the deep ocean. This ocean circulation pattern has been in place for thousands of years and helps regulate the moderate climate of Western Europe. It may be subject to change during the 21st Century due to the rapidly changing climate of high latitudes in the North Atlantic.
MPR listener question:So far, I see we have recorded 9 days in the Twin Cities this year with a daytime high temperature of 90°F. What is the average number of days per year when we have such temperatures, and have we ever had a year without a 90°F temperature?
Answer:The long-term average number of days per year with a high temperature of 90°F or higher for the Twin Cities is about 15 days. There have been 3 years when no 90°F days were reported. Those years were 1900, 1915, and 1993.
Twin Cities Almanac for July 17th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 84 degrees F (plus or minus 7 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.66 degrees F (plus or minus 6 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for July 17th:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 99 degrees F in 1936; lowest daily maximum temperature of 65 degrees F in 2009; lowest daily minimum temperature of 52 degrees F in 1976; highest daily minimum temperature of 79 degrees F in 2011, and record precipitation of 3.71 inches in 1997. No snowfall has occurred on this date.

Average dew point for July 17th is 62°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 81°F in 2011 and the minimum dew point on this date is 38 degrees F in 1911.
All-time statewide records for July 17th:The state record high temperature for this date is.110 degrees F at Worthington (Nobles County) in 1936. The state record low temperature for this date is 33 degrees F at Bigfork (Itasca County) in 1971. The statewide record for precipitation on this date is 5.90 inches at Gull Lake (Cass County) in 1952. No snow has fallen on this date.
Past Weather:July 17, 1936 was the hottest in history with 25 Minnesota communities reporting afternoon temperatures of 100°F or greater. It was the middle of the deadly Heat Wave from July 5-19 that killed hundreds of Minnesota citizens.

Strong thunderstorms dropped 2-5 inches of rain across portions of central Minnesota over July 16-17, 1952. Gull Lake reported nearly 6 inches which washed out a number of roads in the area.

Campers in northern Minnesota woke up to temperatures in the 30s F on July 17, 1971. At Big Fork (Itasca County) the temperature started out at 33°F but rose by 40 to 73°F by 4pm.

July 17 of 2011 began a 3-day Heat Wave across Minnesota that brought record dew points and high Heat Index Values to scores of communities around the state, including 112°F at Fergus Falls, 116°F at Hallock, 123°F at Pelican Rapids, and 134°F at Moorhead. The Heat Index in the Twin Cities was over 100°F each of the 3 days, reaching 119°F on the 19th.
Outlook:Modestly cooler weather over the weekend, with chances for showers and thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday. Continued more moderate temperatures for much of next week with some days being cooler than normal. There is little chance for rain most of next week.

Warm and Wet Start to July:Through the first 9 days of July temperatures around the state are averaging 2°F to 4°F warmer than normal, mostly due to warm nights. In fact, Preston (Fillmore County) reported a record warm night on July 1st with a minimum temperature of 77°F. At least 16 counties have reported daytime high temperatures of 90°F or greater this month, but no daily record high temperatures have been reported.

Many parts of the state have measured rainfall on 5 or 6 days, and in some cases the rain has come in record amounts. Over 20 long term climate stations have reported record daily rainfalls this month, including:

1.47 inches at Rochester on the 1st
7.30 inches at Grand Meadow on the 2nd
2.50 inches at Hokah on the 3rd
1.64 inches at Cass Lake on the 4th
4.00 inches at New York Mills on the 5th
3.15 inches at Onamia on the 8th
5.95 inches at Austion on the 9th

For the July 1-9 period many observers have reported from 2 to 5 inches of rainfall, while in southeastern counties amounts range from 6 to 9 inches. This is one of the wettest starts to July in that area of the state.

The frequent and surplus rainfall in southeastern counties has helped reduce areas of Moderate Drought, but according to the U.S. Drought Monitor Moderate Drought persists in much of north-central and southwestern Minnesota, with some imbedded areas of Severe Drought. According to USDA reports over 80 of the Minnesota corn and soybean crops remain in good to excellent condition at this time, though there is some concern that forecast models consistently favor dryness across the state over the next three weeks.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:The NOAA-National Weather Service Forecast Office in Grand Forks, ND web site features a good summary about the severe weather across that region on July 6th, including the tornado that did damage and caused injury around Floyd Lake north of Detroit Lakes in Becker County. This storm rated EF-2 (max winds 111mph to 135 mph) and was on the ground for 6.8 miles, difficult to see because of the rain shield around it. Approximately 30 tornadoes have been reported from Minnesota so far this year.

The BBC Weather Center reports this week that a new UK heat record has been established. There have now been 8 days with temperatures of 93°F or higher reported somewhere in the country this year. This breaks the old record of 7 such days reported in both 1976 and 2020. Temperatures were as high as 96°F this week in Surrey.
MPR listener question:We live on a farm near the border of Mower and Fillmore Counties in southeastern Minnesota not far from Hamilton. We have already measured 11 inches of rain this month. Can you tell us what the record monthly rainfall in our area is for July?
Answer:Looking at the long-term climate records in your area of the state I find that Austin Waste Water Treatment Plant reports July rainfall so far of 11.03 inches which breaks their record for wettest ever July (formerly 10.20 inches in 1999). Spring Valley reports 11.26 inches of rain so far this July, which breaks their record for wettest July (formerly 10.10 inches back in 2022). But the all-time record for your area of the state in terms of July rainfall is 13.48 inches at Grand Meadow back in 1999. The current observer at Grand Meadow reports 11.15 inches so far this month and we still have 3 weeks to go.
Twin Cities Almanac for July 10th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 84 degrees F (plus or minus 8 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.66 degrees F (plus or minus 6 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for July 10th:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 106 degrees F in 1936; lowest daily maximum temperature of 69 degrees F in 1945; lowest daily minimum temperature of 49 degrees F in 1996; highest daily minimum temperature of 80 degrees F in 1936, and record precipitation of 1.93 inches in 2002. No snowfall has occurred on this date.

Average dew point for July 10th is 59°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 79°F in 1966 and the minimum dew point on this date is 37 degrees F in 1931.
All-time statewide records for July 10th:The state record high temperature for this date is.112 degrees F at Wadena (Wadena County) in 1936. The state record low temperature for this date is 32 degrees F at Tower (St Louis County) in 1978. The statewide record for precipitation on this date is 7.02 inches at Leech Lake (Cass County) in 1954. No snow has fallen on this date.
Past Weather:July 10 of 1936 was record-setting across all parts of Minnesota as the state was in the grip of its worst Heat Wave. Over 70 climate stations reported afternoon temperatures of 100°F or greater. There was little relief from the heat at night, as overnight minimum temperatures of 80°F or higher were measured in many communities. The Heat Wave was in full force from July 5 to July 18.

Campers in northern Minnesota awoke to a cool morning on July 10 of 1978, as many areas reported morning low temperatures in the 30s F. In fact four climate stations reported record low temperatures, including just 32°F at Tower. Daytime high temperatures only reached the mid 60s F in some areas.

Thunderstorms brought heavy rains and flash flooding to portions of northwestern, central, and south-central counties over July 9-11 of 2002. Many climate observers reported over 4 inches of rain, while five counties reported over 5 inches. Widespread street flooding was reported in St Cloud, Sauk Center, and Fergus Falls, and basement flooding was common in the Fridley area of the Twin Cities.
Outlook:Temperatures will continue to warm above normal under sunny skies over the weekend and will remain above normal throughout the coming week. It will also be a dry week for most areas of the state with slight chances for showers and thunderstorms in the far north by Wednesday or Thursday.

Record dew points for June 29 combined with severe weather:Monday, June 29th was by far the warmest day of the summer so far. Afternoon Heat Index Values widely ranged from 100°F to 108°F. There were even some values as high as 110°F to 112°F reported at some western and southern locations. The Heat Index Values were driven by record high dew points.

Daily record high dew points of 78°F occurred at MSP and St Cloud, as well as at Rochester with a dew point of 79°F. There were widespread reports of record dew points between 80°F and 84°F within the state climate station network, especially from western and southern counties.

Some stations reporting dew points of 80°F or higher included:
Preston
Austin
Albert Lea
Dodge Center
St James
New Ulm
Slayton
Worthington
Pipestone
Benson,
Appleton
Morris
Sauk Center
Willmar
Glenwood
Fergus Falls
Princeton

In my 48 years of reporting on Minnesota weather I have never seen such widespread reports of dew points this high in the month of June.

The sultry air mass on June 29 produced some severe weather as well, as there were reports of brief tornadoes in Clay, Becker, and St Louis Counties in the north, as well as reports of large hail from 9 counties, including 3 inch diameter hail near Moorhead. Some thunderstorm related wind gusts topped 60 mph. Many areas of the state reported rainfall from 1 inch to over 3 inches. Some of the record rainfall amounts included:

3.04 inches at Silver Bay
2.63 inches at Brimson
2.59 inches at Two Harbors
2.58 inches at Wolf Ridge
2.07 inches at Tettegouche
1.60 inches at Winnebago

The DNR-State Climatology Office produced a brief summary of these storms on its web site.

Despite ending the month of June with hot and wet weather, the Minnesota landscape entered the month of July with about 19 percent of its land area in Moderate Drought, and 12 percent in Severe Drought.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:According to the BBC and the UK Met Office the month of June was the warmest in history for England and the second warmest for the UK as a whole. There were many record-setting warm days and warm nights during June of 2026, including the highest daily maximum temperature ever measured in the country, 99.9°F at Lingwood in Norfolk on June 26. Record high temperatures were also prevalent during June across many parts of Western Europe and followed on the heals of a warmer than normal month of May.

Speaking of the June Heat Wave in Western Europe, France24 news service reported this week that 2025 people died in France during the June 22-28 Heat Wave. Many of the deaths were in the Paris region. Health officials claimed that this count was preliminary, as a comprehensive survey of deaths attributed to the Heat Wave was not yet available. Many areas of the country reported triple digit temperatures during the Heat Wave. Yet more heat is expected to prevail across the UK, France and Spain beginning this weekend.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center was tracking two large storms this week in the Western Pacific Ocean. Typhoon Bavi is expected to strengthen and threaten damage to Guam over thw weekend with winds up to 150 mph. Remnants of Typhoon Maysak were bringing rain and wind to Hainan (China) and to portions of Vietnam as it is expected to die out over the weekend.
MPR listener question:We heard that some southeastern areas of the state reported 4 to 6 inches of rainfall on Thursday this week, with one report of 6.66 inches from Caledonia (Houston County). Would that be a statewide record for July 2nd?
Answer:The statewide record for July 2nd is 6.44 inches at Newfolden (Marshall County) in 1901, so yes that would be a new statewide record if the report from Caledonia is deemed accurate. However, I also noticed a report of 7.30 inches from a climate observer at Grand Meadow (Mower County) for July 2nd this week, so indeed that would be a new statewide record. The storms Thursday dumped widespread rains of 4 to 6 inches over portions of Houston, Winona, Fillmore, Mower, and Olmsted Counties, with lots of flooded roads and highways. Some daily record rainfalls reported on that day included:

3.62 inches at La Crescent

3.31 inches at Minnesota City

5.72 inchers at Preston

 

What a start to July!
Twin Cities Almanac for July 3rd:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 83 degrees F (plus or minus 8 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.65 degrees F (plus or minus 6 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for July 3rd:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 100 degrees F in 1990; lowest daily maximum temperature of 62 degrees F in 1927; lowest daily minimum temperature of 47 degrees F in 1967; highest daily minimum temperature of 79 degrees F in 1949, and record precipitation of 3.70 inches in 1879. No snowfall has occurred on this date.

Average dew point for July 3rd is 59°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 77°F in 1999 and the minimum dew point on this date is 38 degrees F in 1941.
All-time statewide records for July 3rd:The state record high temperature for this date is.107 degrees F at Beardsley (Big Stone County) in 1949. The state record low temperature for this date is 23 degrees F at Kabetogama (St Louis County) in 2000. The statewide record for precipitation on this date is 5.60 inches at Tracy (Lyon County) in 2018. No snow has fallen on this date.
Past Weather:Campers in northern Minnesota awoke to very cold temperatures on July 3 of 1927. Climate observers in four northeastern counties reported morning low temperatures in the 30s F, and it was just 29°F at Meadowlands (St Louis County). With cloud cover and northwest winds during the day, many climate stations reported daytime high temperatures only in the 50s F, including just 52°F at Collegeville.

Record-setting hot weather gripped the state of Minnesota on July 3 of 1949. Over 50 climate stations reported record-setting maximum temperatures. The thermometers reached 100 degrees F or greater in 19 counties. There were also many record warm overnight temperatures. At least six climate stations reported overnight low temperatures of 80°F or greater.

An air mass with very high dew points settled over Minnesota on July 3 of 1983. Many strong afternoon thunderstorms developed and produced record-setting rainfall. Over 25 Minnesota climate stations reported record rainfall that day, in many cases over 2 inches. Hawley (Clay County) in the Red River Valley reported nearly 4 inches of rain, which flooded farm fields, while Itasca State Park reported nearly 5 inches of rain, closing down park roads for a time.
Outlook:Near normal temperatures on Saturday, but with chances for showers and thunderstorms throughout the day and evening in many areas of the state. Mostly sunny on Sunday, with warmer temperatures. Temperatures will fluctuate around seasonal normal for next week, perhaps a little above normal in some areas. There will be slight changes for showers and thunderstorms each day. There will be increased chances for showers and thunderstorms late on Wednesday and into Thursday.

Preliminary Climate Summary for June of 2026:The beginning and the end of June were dominated by warmer than normal temperatures, while during the middle of the month cooler than normal temperatures prevailed. Over 30 daily high warm minimum temperature records were set within the state climate network early in the month, including 72°F at Albert Lea (Freeborn County) on June 10th. High dew points also brought Heat Index Values between 95°F and 102°F to parts of the state over June 9-10. During the middle part of the month a handful of cold temperature records were set within the state climate network, including a record low minimum temperature of 37°F and a record cold maximum temperature of 53°F at Wolf Ridge Environmental Learning Center (Lake County).

Overall, most climate stations will report a mean monthly temperature for June of 2026 that is near normal, or 1°F to 3°F above normal. Extremes for the month were 97°F at Benson (Swift County) on the 10th and 32°F at Celina (St Louis County) on the 19th. Over 40 climate stations reported at least one day with a maximum temperature of 90°F or higher. Even more 90°F are expected over the last three days of the month (Sun-Tue).

Rainfall was highly variable around Minnesota during June of 2026. Though many climate observers reported 12 or more days with rain, amounts were generally light and few daily rainfall records were set. Most areas of the state reported total monthly rainfall over 3 inches, while a few parts of southeastern and west-central Minnesota reported between 5 and 7 inches. A few spotty areas in the north reported less than 1.50 inches of total rainfall. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, both Moderate and Severe Drought areas expanded over the state during June. Approximately 27 percent of the state landscape is in Moderate Drought and 14 percent is in Severe Drought as the month concludes.

There were many windy days during June with wind gusts of 30 mph or greater, mostly in western and southern counties. Redwood Falls, Moorhead, and Rochester all reported gusts of 30 mph or greater on half of the days in the month.

Earlier in the week, USDA estimate that between 75 percent and 80 percent of the Minnesota corn and soybean crops were in good to excellent condition.
Weekly Weather Potpourri:BBC news featured several articles about the Heat Wave in Western Europe this week. Portions of France reported daily high temperatures of 110°F, while portions of Spain were 112°F. In the U.K. where air conditioning is not especially widespread, citizens found it difficult to cope with temperatures ranging from 93°F to 96°F, setting many record high values within their climate station network.

The Weather Channel web site reports on year-to-date tornado activity around the nation so far in 2026. Surprisingly, Illinois has reported the most tornadoes so far this year with 196. The climate in Illinois for the spring was unusually warm and humid. For comparison with neighboring states, Indiana has reported 75 tornadoes so far this year, while Iowa has reported 64. I could not find a preliminary number for Minnesota so far.
MPR listener question:The cold east wind which is normal in Duluth for April and May, continues now to blow cold all through June. When will the more welcome west and south winds come and warm things up along the Lake Superior shore?
Answer:Indeed, I see from the Duluth climate station that over a third of the days this month have seen cool winds from the east and several other days cold have brought cold north winds.. Climatology shows that July brings a much higher frequency of winds from the west and that is exactly what is going to happen over the next week or so. Starting next Monday, June 29th the wind pattern should change with prevailing westerly wind the last two days of June and the first week of July. This will bring warmer temperatures to Duluth as we conclude the month and go into July.
Twin Cities Almanac for June 26th:The average MSP high temperature for this date is 82 degrees F (plus or minus 8 degrees F standard deviation), while the average low is.64 degrees F (plus or minus 7 degrees F standard deviation).

MSP Local Records for June 26th:

MSP records for this date: highest daily maximum temperature of 99 degrees F in 1931; lowest daily maximum temperature of 55 degrees F in 1968; lowest daily minimum temperature of 46 degrees F in 1926; highest daily minimum temperature of 78 degrees F in 1931, and record precipitation of 2.54 inches in 1998. No snowfall has occurred on this date.

Average dew point for June 26th is 58°F; the maximum dew point on this date is 76°F in 1953 and the minimum dew point on this date is 31 degrees F in 1992.
All-time statewide records for June 26th:The state record high temperature for this date is.106 degrees F at Milan (Chippewa County) in 1933 and at Faribault (Rice County) in 1934. The state record low temperature for this date is 26 degrees F at Kelliher (Beltrami County) in 2003. The statewide record for precipitation on this date is 5.20 inches at Morris (Stevens County) in 1914. No snow has fallen on this date.
Past Weather:Slow-moving thunderstorms brought heavy rains to Minnesota over June 26-27 of 1914. Many observers reported 2 to 3 inches of rain. Morris (Stevens County) reported over 5 inches, with some wheat fields washed out as well. June of 1914 was one of the wettest in state history, with many climate stations reporting 10 to 14 inches of rainfall for the month.

Over 25 Minnesota climate stations reported record high maximum temperatures on the afternoon of June 26 in 1933. Thirteen Minnesota counties reported a temperature of 100°F or greater. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms brought cooler air to many parts of western Minnesota.

Campers in northern Minnesota awoke to some frost on the morning of June 26 in 1982. Eight climate stations reported morning temperatures in the low to mid 30s F. Observers at Grand Marais and Duluth Harbors reported that daytime high temperatures remained in the 50s F that day, certainly low enough for jackets and sweatshirts.
Outlook:Much warmer over the weekend with very humid conditions returning to the state as well. Temperatures will be near normal Saturday but then climb to well above normal for Sunday through at least Thursday of next week. With higher dew points, Heat Index Values may range from 100°F to 110°F in some parts of the state on Monday. There will be chances for showers and thunderstorms late Saturday night and into Sunday, then again Monday night. Each day next week will bring chances for showers and thunderstorms as well as high dew points. Many areas of the state will see daytime highs in the 90s F.